2011 NFL Draft Preview: Unofficial First Round and Conclusions

1. Carolina Panthers: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

2. Denver Broncos: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

3. Buffalo Bills: Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

4. Cincinnati Bengals: Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

5. Arizona Cardinals: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

6. Cleveland Browns: AJ Green, WR, Georgia

7. San Francisco 49ers: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

8. Tennessee Titans: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

9. Dallas Cowboys: Tyron Smith, OT, USC

10. Washington Redskins: Mike Pouncey, C, Florida

11. Houston Texans: Aldon Smith, OLB, Missouri

12. Minnesota Vikings: Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

13. Detroit Lions: Anthony Costanzo, OT, Boston College

14. St. Louis Rams: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

15. Miami Dolphins: Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina

17. New England Patriots (from Oakland Raiders): Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

18. San Diego Chargers: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

19. New York Giants: JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

21. Kansas City Chiefs: Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State

22. Indianapolis Colts: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

23. Philadelphia Eagles: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State

24. New Orleans Saints: Cameron Jordan, DE, Cal

25. Seattle Seahawks: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple

26. Baltimore Ravens: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa

27. Atlanta Falcons: Aaron Williams, CB, Texas

28. New England Patriots: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

29. Chicago Bears: Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor

30. New York Jets: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

32. Green Bay Packers: Mikel LeShoure, RB, Illinois

Note: This is the first round I think should happen, not necessarily what will happen.

Also, inadvertently, I left Von Miller out of the first round.  Obviously Miller is a top-10 prospect, and I apologize for the mistake.  I will say that I think Miller could go to a lot of different teams.  He could go second to Denver, as they run a 3-4 and need another pass rusher opposite Elvis Dumervil.  The Bills at #3 could also use his services as Aaron Maybin has been a disaster.  Arizona, Cleveland, San Francisco, and Dallas—who pick fifth, sixth, seventh, and ninth, respectively—would all be happy to acquire his services as well.

--from Adam

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers and Green Bay Packers

#31 Pittsburgh Steelers

What They Need: They were very good last year but fell just short in a great Super Bowl battle.  Pittsburgh typically struggles with the Super Bowl hangover—the last two times they won the big game, they failed to make the playoffs in the following year—so we’ll see if next season is different, seeing as how they didn’t win.  Quarterback is all set with Ben Roethlisberger, unless he does something really stupid this offseason, which is always a possibility.  Rashard Mendenhall is a terrific young back that can do virtually anything on a football field.  He could use a quality backup though.  Hines Ward is really getting old and has clearly slowed down, though he is still a viable possession player.  One guy who hasn’t slowed down is the human blur Mike Wallace, who proved last year he is one of the league’s best deep threats.  Heath Miller is an outstanding tight end who won’t blow anybody away with physical skills, but is an asset in the pass and run games.  The weak spot on this offense is the line.  Last year Roethlisberger was running for his life—granted, that’s his style—entirely too often.  Part of the problem was simply injuries as Pittsburgh lost both of their starting tackles for the season.  Maurkice Pouncey proved to be a steal at center as a late first round pick and is already a Pro Bowl player.  Outside of Pouncey I think any of the linemen could stand to be replaced.  Defense is obviously where the Steelers are strong.  The front line of Ziggy Hood, Casey Hampton, and Brett Keisel is exceptionally stout against the run and excellent at consuming blocks.  Hampton, Keisel, and Aaron Smith are all north of 30 but still have plenty left in their respective tanks.  Lamar Woodley, James Farrior, Lawrence Timmons, and James Harrison compose the best linebacking group in football.  Farrior and Harrison are getting older, and Farrior especially is showing signs of decline.  Safety is a very strong position on this team between mega star Troy Polamalu and the solid Ryan Clark.  Corner is in need of an upgrade between starters Ike Taylor and Brian McFadden.

Who They Might Pick: They could nab a number of different positions here, particularly receiver, offensive lineman, or corner.  The latter two are probably the most pressing needs.  It would be neat if Maurkice’s brother Mike Pouncey fell to this spot and they could start on the same offensive line.  Pouncey will likely be gone however, and Danny Watkins, the guard from Baylor, is a bigger possibility.  Gabe Carimi is still on my board, though he will likely be picked higher.  I doubt any of the top offensive tackles will be available here.  Marcus Cannon (TCU) is a behemoth offensive tackle and is a possibility, though he might be able to be gotten later.  Ben Ijalana is a guard from Villanova who was great in college, but that was at the FCS level.  Maybe they could think about selecting an heir apparent to Farrior, and if that’s the case, the super athlete Martez Wilson (Illinois) could be a thought.  Corner might be the Steelers’ only area of need that wouldn’t involve a significant reach here.  Jimmy Smith (Colorado), Brandon Harris (Miami), Aaron Williams (Texas), Ras-I Dowling (Virginia), and Davon House (New Mexico State) could all be available at pick thirty-one.

My Advice: The Steelers have to improve their offensive line, so I’ll give them the mammoth Gabe Carimi from Wisconsin.  He’s a force in the run game and will be an upgrade in pass protection, though that’s not his strong suit.  Since Carimi might not be available this late, a good alternative for the Steelers would be the physical corner Dowling.

With the thirty-first pick, the Pittsburgh Steelers take Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin.

#32 Green Bay Packers

What They Need: They need health and they should get just that.  Ryan Grant, Jermichael Finley, Nick Barnett, Brad Jones, and Atari Bigby are all starters who missed most of last year to injuries.  With those players back in the fold, needs are truly at a minimum.  Aaron Rodgers is perhaps the best quarterback in the NFL (yes I said it, even though Tom Brady and Peyton Manning aren’t supposed to move from their concrete spots as the two best passers in the league).  James Starks showed nice flashes last year as a rookie runner, and Grant should be ready to go at the start of the season.  Those two provide a more than ample rushing threat for the pass-happy Pack.  The receiving corps is the deepest in the league with Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, James Jones, Jordy Nelson, and Finley.  The offensive line is the only real weakness on the offense, and really, calling it weak is inaccurate.  They were pretty darn good in the playoffs last year and got better throughout the season.  Brian Bulaga is going to be a very good tackle for a long time in the NFL, and Josh Sitton is a stud at guard.  Scott Wells is the definition of solid at center.  Give me a guy at that position whose name I don’t hear all game, and I’m happy.  Daryn Colledge could probably stand to be replaced, and while Mark Tauscher was excellent last year, he’s 33 with a history of injuries.  Amazingly, the Packers' defense might have fewer needs than the offense.  The front line of BJ Raji, Cullen Jenkins, and Ryan Pickett is a play-making, immoveable unit.  Second year man Mike Neal should develop further and could provide nice depth along the defensive front.  Another solid guy to fit in the defensive line rotation would be nice though.  The linebacking corps has an embarrassment of riches with Clay Matthews, Barnett, AJ Hawk, Desmond Bishop, Brad Jones, Erick Walden, Brady Poppinga, and Brandon Chillar fighting over four spots.  Finding a pure pass rusher to put opposite of the Matthews would be a nice idea.  The secondary is tremendous.  Charles Woodson doesn’t even have to play corner anymore with the emergence of young stars Tramon Williams and Sam Shields.  Woodson will play safety, corner, and linebacker at times, and that versatility will help really prolong his career.  Nick Collins is one of the best four or five safeties in football and Charlie Peprah doesn’t make mistakes.  Morgan Burnett should come along as well.

Who They Might Pick: Though you can’t call any area a glaring need, offensive or defensive line is where the Packers could improve most.  Cameron Heyward (Ohio State) might just be lingering on the board and would be a great pick to add depth and talent to the defensive line.  Marvin Austin, Corey Liuget, or Stephen Paea are all defensive linemen who could play in the 3-4.  Mike Pouncey, Watkins, or Ijalana could all fit at guard even if they don’t start immediately.  I also think the Packers could simply use this selection on the best player available.  Kyle Rudolph would be a fun toy at tight end for Rodgers to play with.  He’s not a need, but putting Rudolph on the field with Finley would make this offense even more frightening.  Akeem Ayers could possibly be on the board as an edge rusher, and if not, Brooks Reed (Arizona) might fit that mold as well.  I also think running back could be an idea.  Starks is not proven yet, and Grant is coming off a major knee injury.  Mikel LeShoure (Illinois) and Ryan Williams (Virginia Tech) are considered fringe, first round talents at the halfback position.  I also think Green Bay could trade this pick to move up and nab a real impact player or move down and accrue more selections.

My Advice: There’s plenty of time to address the offensive and defensive lines later in the draft.  With this pick the Packers need to get the best talent available and avoid reaching.  Green Bay should take Mikel LeShoure from Illinois.  No, running back is not a huge need, but LeShoure is a big time talent, and at 227 pounds would add a smash-mouth element this team has been missing.  LeShoure can get the tough yards and could be a real weapon on the goal line.

For the thirty-second selection, the Green Bay Packers pick Mikel LeShoure, RB, Illinois.

--from Adam

(images from zimbio.com)

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Chicago Bears and New York Jets

#29 Chicago Bears

What They Need: Though better than the Seahawks, I have the same feeling about where the Bears pick in this draft.  Talent-wise, they should select in the top-15, but they found a way to the NFC championship last year and now pick at twenty-nine.  Jay Cutler is a turnover-prone head case with a golden arm—Jeff George anyone?—but he’s too talented and the Bears have invested too much in him to look for a replacement.  At running back Matt Forte had a nice bounce back season last year, and Chester Taylor is still a very good second option.  Receiver is a big area of need.  Johnny Knox is a good player and a speedster, but he doesn’t have the physicality or size to be a move-the-chains type.  I’ve heard a lot of people say Greg Olsen had a breakout year last year, but he had just 40 catches.  Everyone likes his talent, but so far his production has been lacking.  The offensive line was atrocious last year; everyone outside of aging Olin Kreutz could be replaced.  Defensively the Bears were good against the run and bad defending the pass.  Julius Peppers was worth the money last year, bringing pressure and surprising run defense every game.  The rest of the defensive linemen are no more than average though.  Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher are a tremendous combo at linebacker, though they aren’t as fast as they once were.  The secondary doesn’t have a single standout player.  Charles Tillman is their best corner and he is now 30 years old.

Who they Might Pick: On offense they have to either add a receiver or an offensive lineman.  I would guess the Bears want to protect Cutler, so offensive line is probably the first priority.  The only problem with that is, the best lineman prospects could all be gone by now.  Nate Solder, the tackle from Colorado, is slipping lately on draft boards so maybe he could fall to this spot.  Mike Pouncey (Florida) and Danny Watkins (Baylor) are physical guards that could bolster the Bears’ protection.  There’s a huge drop-off at the receiver position after Julio Jones and AJ Green, but Maryland’s Torrey Smith is a fringe first round player and could really help Cutler’s cause.  The Bears’ defense was good last year, and although it has its weak spots, I think they have to address the offense with this pick.  They could add a corner here or maybe a defensive lineman, but I just can’t see them ignoring their bigger needs on the other side of the ball.

My Advice: With BJ Raji, Ndamukong Suh, and Kevin Williams in the same division, the Bears must shore up the middle of their offensive line.  Danny Watkins is the best lineman left on my board and should be the pick.  Once a fireman, the 26-year-old Watkins has had a strange path to the league.  He played left tackle in college but projects as a guard.  He has plenty of athleticism and enough strength to hold up at the point of attack.

With the twenty-ninth selection, the Chicago Bears take Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor.

#30 New York Jets

What They Need: It would be helpful to know what the Jets’ plans are for potential free agents Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards, but for our purposes let’s assume they keep both guys.  Mark Sanchez is obviously the foundation at quarterback, and though he’s had his ups and downs, he’s just entering his third year.  Shonn Greene can be a powerhouse at running back and LaDanian Tomlinson showed he had plenty left to be a good backup.  The offensive line is tremendous with D’Brickashaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold both playing at Pro Bowl-levels.  Maybe the Jets could stand to add another receiving threat, but that is their only need on offense.  Defensively the Jets are fine in the secondary with a great corner trio of Darelle Revis, Antonio Cromartie, and Kyle Wilson.  The linebackers are talented as well, and though getting older, probably don’t need to be addressed at this spot in the draft.  The real area of need for the Jets is the defensive line where Kris Jenkins is injured every year and there aren’t any other standout performers.

Who They Might Pick: I could see Torrey Smith being the pick here at wide receiver.  He’s a burner and fits an area of need.  Kyle Rudolph, the tight end from Notre Dame could be a thought as well to add another big target in the red zone.  If a pass rushing linebacker like Aldon Smith (Missouri) or Akeem Ayers (UCLA) fell to this point, the Jets might snap them up because their defense relies so much on creating pressure, but I doubt either guy would fall this far.  Stephen Paea (Oregon State) could fit nicely at nose tackle if he’s available.  Marvin Austin (North Carolina) and Corey Liguet (Illinois) are both talented defensive tackle prospects that could probably play anywhere on the Jets’ 3-4 front line.

My Advice: Take Corey Liuget.  He’s big enough (6’2”, 298 pounds) to play end in the 3-4 and has the strength and quickness to both push the pocket and hold up against the run.  He’s considered a top-20-25 prospect, so it would be a steal to get him this late.  Adding Liuget’s talents to their line could really help the whole defense take the next step toward greatness.

For the thirtieth pick, the New York Jets select Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois.

--from Adam

(first image from jetsconfidential.com, second from petcaregt.com)

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots

#27 Atlanta Falcons

What They Need: Though ultimately overwhelmed by the eventual Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers in the playoffs, Atlanta was the best team in the NFC last regular season.  Balance was their biggest strength on offense, and that’s why needs are minimal on that side of the ball.  Michael Turner is a bona-fide feature back, and the combo of Jason Snelling and Jerious Norwood gives the Falcons tremendous depth at the position.  Roddy White emerged as a super star last year, and Tony Gonzalez is still one of the best receiving tight ends in the league.  Matt Ryan is rock solid at quarterback; maybe he won’t win a game by himself, but he consistently puts his team in successful positions.  The offensive line is a sound unit where no one player is excellent, but all are good NFL starters.  Another explosive wide receiver or tight end is the only conceivable offensive draft option for Atlanta.  Defensively, Atlanta was good but not great.  They're fine at linebacker with young studs Sean Weatherspoon and Curtis Lofton and the solid veteran Mike Peterson.  John Abraham is still a very good pass rushing defensive end, but he has had injuries and is aging quickly.  Opposite Abraham, Kroy Biermann is a solid but unspectacular player.  At tackle, Perria Jerry is still developing, as is second year man Corey Peters.  The Falcons' secondary got torched at times last year because Dunta Robinson is their only good cover corner.

Who They Might Pick: I think this is defense all the way with defensive line and corner as the biggest needs.  Having some young talent at defensive tackle may prohibit Atlanta from nabbing a guy like Corey Liuget from Illinois or Stephen Paea from Oregon State.  At this point there won’t be a top-rated pass rusher available, such a coveted position.  Maybe Jabal Sheard, the defensive end from Pittsburgh, could bring the pass rush complement to Abraham.  Cameron Heyward might still be on the board, but I think he’s ideally suited for the 3-4.  Aaron Williams from Texas will likely be the top cornerback available at this spot, and he could be a nice pick.

My Advice: They need a cover man to take pressure off of Dunta Robinson.  Take Aaron Williams from Texas.  He’s big and physical with good but not great speed.  He’ll be able to combat big possession receivers while Robinson handles the burners on the other side.  Atlanta is just one good player away from knocking on the Super Bowl door, and Williams could be that guy.

At pick twenty-seven, the Atlanta Falcons take Aaron Williams, CB, Texas.

#28 New England Patriots

What They Need: Back again, huh?  I already gave the Patriots stud running back Mark Ingram from Alabama, so the backfield is all taken care of.  The receiving corps is deep, if not overwhelmingly talented, but that’s almost the way New England likes it.  They want a group of good route runners that won’t pout if they don’t get the ball.  And Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez both flashed big time potential at tight end last year, so I don’t think the Pats want to draft any more pass catchers.  The offensive line is talented and sound, but could use an infusion of young talent.  Defensively we’ve said New England could use another solid defensive end.  The linebacking corps is full of young talent—Jerod Mayo, Brandon Spikes, Gary Guyton, Jermaine Cunningham—so I don’t think they’ll spend another high pick on that unit.  Patrick Chung and Brandon Meriweather form a young, talented, and athletic safety combination.  The corner position is not outstanding, but you have to figure that Devin McCourty will continue to develop, and Darius Butler and Leigh Bodden are certainly no slouches.  It’s funny; you think of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick and you view this team as old, but in reality they are young at a lot of positions.  With no glaring need, this is another luxury pick.  Even a possible successor to Brady is a possibility. 

Who They Might Pick: I think linebacker is off limits here with all the picks they’ve spent on those positions recently.  3-4 defensive linemen are abundant in this draft, and that matches up with one of New England’s only needs.  Cameron Heyward could certainly still be on the board, and maybe JJ Watt or Adrian Clayborn slide down this far.  In terms of offensive line, the top tackles should all be gone, but Mike Pouncey could maybe fall to this spot, and if not Baylor guard Danny Watkins would provide a physical presence.  Corner could be a thought, and Aaron Williams, Davon House (New Mexico State), Brandon Harris (Miami), or Ras-I Dowling (Virginia) are possibilities.

My Advice: After giving them Ingram, the offense is all set.  Defensively their biggest need is another presence on the defensive line.  Cameron Heyward could provide just that.  Prior to this past college football season, many had Heyward as the best defensive player available, so he has big-time talent.  I think in New England’s system he could thrive and should be the pick.

With the twenty-eighth pick, the New England Patriots select Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State.

--from Adam

(images from zimbio.com)

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Seattle Seahawks and Baltimore Ravens

#25 Seattle Seahawks

What They Need: Talent-wise, this team should be picking in the top ten of the draft.  Unfortunately for Seattle, they won the pathetic NFC West, and then shocked the defending champion Saints, only to fall in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, which lands them the twenty-fifth pick in this year’s draft.  Needs are abundant on this roster.  They probably could do with a young quarterback to develop as Matt Hasselbeck is aging and has had multiple injuries.  Running back is okay with Marshawn Lynch as their feature back, but they could use another talented player in the backfield.  Mike Williams had a great comeback year at wide receiver, but he’s their only true threat on the perimeter, and I’m not sure he’s a number one-caliber wideout.  Russell Okung was very good at left tackle for Seattle last year when healthy, Chris Spencer is a solid center, and Shaun Locklear is serviceable at right tackle.  The guard spots aren’t all that strong, and adding a young right tackle would be a wise investment.  Defensively the Seahawks sorely need help in their front four.  Those guys just don’t make a lot of impact plays.  Lofa Tatupu and Aaron Curry form a talented and athletic combo at linebacker that Seattle can build around.  Earl Thomas is going to be a star at safety, Marcus Trufant is a good cover corner, and Kelly Jennings is a reasonably solid cover man.  They could use another dynamic player in the secondary, but they have bigger needs.

Who They Might Pick: Since this team knows they are in transition, it wouldn’t surprise me if they took a quarterback here.  Building the offensive line is a good thought, but that’s more of a move to support the current quarterback, and I think Seattle might be looking toward the future.  If Seattle targets a signal caller, the three guys they could look at here are Jake Locker (Washington), Ryan Mallett (Arkansas) and Cristian Ponder (Florida State).  If they look for offensive line help, they could look at tackle, though I’m not sure any of the top prospects will be left at this point in the draft.  Nate Solder or Derrick Sherrod might still be on the board and could be solid fits at the right tackle spot.  Mike Pouncey would be a great value here and could start at guard immediately for Seattle.  Danny Watkins, a guard from Baylor, would be another good pick.  If the Seahawks look at defense here, the pick should come on the defensive line.  Muhammad Wilkerson, Phil Taylor, or Stephen Paea would be good selections at defensive tackle.  Ryan Kerrigan could still be around and would add a nice pass rushing element at defensive end.  Cameron Heyward, JJ Watt, Adrian Clayborn, and Cameron Jordan could all fill multiple positions along the defensive front.

My Advice: There are some good quarterbacks that should be available in the second round or later this year: Andy Dalton from TCU, Colin Kaepernick from Nevada, Ricky Stanzi from Iowa, Greg McElroy from Alabama, and perhaps Ponder.  Unless they fall in love with Mallet or Locker, I think they should go defense with this pick and try to build around the promising nucleus of Thomas, Curry, and Tatupu.  Muhammad Wilkerson, the defensive tackle from Temple, would be an excellent value at this point in the draft and should be the Seahawks’ pick.  He improves a glaring need in the middle of Seattle’s defense.  At 6’4”, 315 pounds he has great size, good athleticism, and quick feet.  He can be a force in the run game and push the pocket to create pass rush.

For the twenty-fifth pick, the Seattle Seahawks take Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple.

#26 Baltimore Ravens

What They Need: For what seems like the last ten years this team has relied on a stifling defense and an offense that was always inconsistent or up-and-coming but never fully competent.  Now though, that defense is really starting to age.  Ray Lewis will not be able to play for much longer, though he is still a high-level linebacker.  Ed Reed played very well last year but nearly retired before last season because of his cumulative injuries.  The corner spot is weak, and that showed for most of last year.  Haloti Ngata is a monster in the trenches but could use some help from his linemates.  Terrence Cody might be nothing more than a massive body; he didn’t do much last year as a rookie, but we’ll wait and see what kind of nose tackle he can become.  Terrell Suggs is a truly dynamic pass rusher but could use another guy to create pressure opposite him.  On offense, Joe Flacco has been good, though I think he has plateaued in his development.  He’s good but not great, and I think that’s where he’ll stay.  Ray Rice is one of the best six or seven all around running backs in the league.  The offensive line is a really strong young unit with Ben Grubbs, Michael Oher, and Jared Gaither.  Anquan Boldin is a great possession receiver, and young tight ends Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta are promising targets in the middle of the field.  Another dynamic receiver could really complete this offense.

Who They Might Pick: Defensively they need help on the front line, another edge rushing linebacker, and at corner.  On offense they really just need another big play wide receiver.  I think this pick will probably come on the defensive line because this year’s draft is deep with 3-4-style linemen and not so much with edge rushers, corners, or receivers.  Heyward and Clayborn could easily still be on the board here.  Jimmy Smith might be available at corner, and if not, I could see the Ravens reaching for cover men like Aaron Williams (Texas), Brandon Harris (Miami), or Davon House (New Mexico State) because it is such a big need.  Receivers are not all that plentiful in this year’s draft, so I think Baltimore will be content to wait until the second or third round to nab a wideout.

My Advice: Adrian Clayborn is a monster against the run and is just a solid all-around player who fits perfectly with the Ravens’ gritty style.  Coming from the Big Ten, Clayborn will be used to taking on massive blockers.  He will help relieve pressure on Ngata, keep blockers off of Lewis, and might even support Suggs in the pass rush department.

With the twenty-sixth selection, the Baltimore Ravens pick Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa.

--from Adam

(first image from owlified.net, second from nepatriotsdraft.com)

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Philadelphia Eagles and New Orleans Saints

#23 Philadelphia Eagles

What They Need: Mike Vick, LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Brent Celek: the skill positions are just fine.  The offensive line is another matter.  Vick and Kevin Kolb got sacked a combined 49 times last year, an unacceptable rate especially considering how valuable Vick is to this team's success.  Jason Peters is an ultra-talented left tackle but his technique has been wildly inconsistent.  Winston Justice needs to be replaced at right tackle.  Jamaal Jackson is a physical center who needs to improve his fundamentals.  The offensive line could use help across the board, but right tackle is the major area of concern.  Defensively the Eagles have some nice bright spots and some glaring needs.  Trent Cole is a stud at defensive end, and the combo of Mike Patterson and Broderick Bunkley is solid at defensive tackle.  Brandon Graham showed flashes of brilliance last year at defensive end and the Eagles will likely be content to let him develop another year.  The linebackers are athletic but undersized on this team, and they could use a thumper that really brings physicality in the run game.  Asante Samuel is still a very good corner though he gambles a lot, but opposite him the Eagles need a new cover man.  Nate Allen and the return of Marlin Jackson should make the safety spot a strength.

Who They Might Pick: There won’t be a linebacker worthy of this pick, so to me this will clearly come down to the offensive line.  The skill positions are set, the defensive line is young and talented, and the secondary has three strong starters.  Another corner is a possibility, but just isn’t as important as protecting Vick.  The Eagles can address other needs later in the draft, especially if they trade Kolb for draft choices.  Mike Pouncey could easily still be on the board, though I have him going much earlier.  He would be a nice option at guard or center.  The Eagles are not a physical running team, and with Vick’s tendency to move the pocket, an athletic offensive tackle is a necessity.  Unfortunately, Tyron Smith, Anthony Costanzo, and Nate Solder could all be gone by this spot, but if they aren’t, any of those three would fit the pass blocking mold the Eagles are looking for.  Derek Sherrod might be on the board, and though massive, he has athleticism and a long frame that lends itself to pass blocking.  If they looked corner here, Jimmy Smith, Davon House, and Aaron Williams would be options.

My Advice: I’ll give the Eagles Derek Sherrod, the last first round-rated tackle on my board.  With a 3.5 GPA in college, he’s smart, and he has the athleticism to play the lefty Vick’s blindside protector.  At 6’5”, 321 he has the size and long arms to fend off quick pass rushers and the brute strength to move his man in the run game.  With Sherrod, Peters, and Jackson, the Eagles have the core of a nice offensive line.

With the twenty-third selection, the Philadelphia Eagles take Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State.

#24 New Orleans Saints

What They Need: Quarterback and receiver are obviously set.  Reggie Bush should return to the fold, but he’s obviously not an every down back, so running back should be a consideration.  The offensive line is a really strong unit, particularly at guard where Carl Nicks and Jhari Evans form the best duo in football.  Offensive tackle is reasonably strong between Jermon Bushrod and John Stinchcomb, but another young tackle would be a nice addition.  Still, defense is probably where the Saints should spend this pick.  Will Smith is a good defensive end, Sedrick Ellis is a young stud inside, and Shaun Rogers was just added to help clog the run game.  Rogers though, has bounced around the league because of a bad attitude and inconsistent effort.  Another pass rusher to complement Smith is certainly a need as well.  Jonathan Vilma is a very good player at middle linebacker, but he isn’t surrounded by much talent at OLB.  Corner is all set with Tracy Porter, last year’s top pick Patrick Robinson, and Malcolm Jenkins, who can play any position in the secondary.  The safety spot is getting long in the tooth, but as mentioned, Jenkins can slide over and make that concern void.

Who They Might Pick: If Mark Ingram slides he’d be a great pick, but if he doesn’t, New Orleans should look to add a back in the later rounds.  And if Ingram’s gone, defense is the way to go.  Defensive line specifically seems to be the smartest spot to bolster.  They are currently strong at defensive tackle with Ellis and Rogers, but adding another young player there as insurance for Rogers would be smart.  Muhammad Wilkerson is a big body who is athletic enough to push the pocket and would be a really good value at this spot.  Phil Taylor, if available, would be a steal here.  Stephen Paea, Corey Liuget, and Marvin Austin could all be on the board at this point as well.  Defensive end seems like the even better choice.  You want your first pick to play right away, and I’m not sure any defensive tackle prospect would beat out Ellis or Rogers.  Naturally a defensive end, Cameron Jordan is a really good player that can play tackle.  Adrian Clayborn, JJ Watt, and Cameron Heyward would all be decent fits as well.

My Advice: Take Cameron Jordan from Cal.  He would be a steal at this point in the draft.  He can rush the passer and at 6’4” 287 pounds is plenty big enough to hold up against the run.  Even as big as he is, Jordan ran a 4.74 40-yard dash and was an excellent basketball player in high school.  Basically, he’s a freak athlete.  Jordan is not a born pass rusher, but he has the ability to push the pocket and is just one of those guys who is always a positive force on the field.

For the twenty-fourth pick, the New Orleans Saints take Cameron Jordan, DE, Cal.

--from Adam

(first image from nflsoup.com, second from flickr.com)

2011 NFL Draft Preview: Kansas City Chiefs and Indianapolis Colts

#21 Kansas City Chiefs

What They Need: I don’t love Matt Cassel, but he’s a solid player, and after posting a 93 passer rating last year, the Chiefs are certainly sold that he’s their man.  Running back is also well stocked with young burner Jamal Charles and the Original Gangster Thomas Jones still a very productive runner.  Dwayne Bowe is a very good number one receiver who notched over 1,100 yards and 15 touchdowns last year.  Last year’s rookie tight end Tony Moeaki also showed that he can be a big time target in the middle of the field, and Dexter McCluster is a very explosive athlete that does a little bit of everything.  The skill positions are strong on this team, though another big time wide receiver could take this group to another level.  The offensive line is set with a very solid guard in Ryan Lilja and Casey Wiegmann still playing decently at the age of 37.  Brian Waters is still one of the better guards in the league, and Branden Albert is a talented, if inconsistent young tackle.  The line could use some reinforcement and some young bodies, but it isn’t a glaring need.  Defensively the Chiefs have some really nice young pieces.  Defensive linemen Tyson Jackson and Glenn Dorsey haven’t played up to their potentials, but both are talented young players who the Chiefs are developing.  Tamba Hali is a terror off the edge, piling up 14.5 sacks last year.  Derrick Johnson is a tremendous athlete at linebacker who is still improving and rung up 121 tackles last year.  Brandon Flowers is a tremendous, young cover corner, and last year’s top pick Eric Berry has a chance to be a perennial Pro Bowler.  Investing in another corner, pass rusher, or run-stuffing nose tackle would be smart decisions.

Who They Might Pick: Cassel was only sacked 26 times last year, and the Chiefs were a force running the ball, so I don’t think they’ll address the offensive line with this pick.  Receiver, nose tackle, pass rusher, and corner seem to be the areas they’ll look at.  Julio Jones and AJ Green won’t be available so the Chiefs might have to reach if they want to nab a wide receiver here.  Maryland’s Torrey Smith, Miami’s Leonard Hankerson, Kentucky’s Randall Cobb, and Troy’s Jerrel Jernigan are all solid second round prospects.  More likely the Chiefs will wait another round to get one of those players.  Stephen Paea and Muhammad Wilkerson could certainly be here and could be nice fits at nose guard.  I doubt Phil Taylor will fall this far, but he’d be a great pick too.  The Chiefs could look for a 3-4 outside linebacker as well and perhaps Ryan Kerrigan, Akeem Ayers, or Aldon Smith could fall to this spot.  If they want to grab a cornerback they will look at Aaron Williams from Texas, Brandon Harris from Miami, and Jimmy Smith from Colorado if he slides.

My Advice: If they take a receiver or corner here, they’ll have to reach, and that’s not a good strategy.  You have to get value for your picks.  Pass rush is already strong with Hali and Johnson, who can provide pressure on occasion.  Getting a strong nose tackle here might really help Dorsey and Jackson develop further and could give the Chiefs a nasty front three.  I really like Stephen Paea, he’s compact and strong as a bull.  He might not be the most athletic guy, but he’s quick in short spaces and can be a force in running game.

With the twenty-first pick, the Kansas City Chiefs take Stephen Paea, DT, Oregon State.

#22 Indianapolis Colts

What They Need: It became apparent last year that the Colts were going with the Peyton Manning versus the world strategy, and it still got them ten wins.  This year the Colts have pledged to get Manning more help, and that should start with this pick.  Receiver is fine with Reggie Wayne, Pierre Garcon, and Dallas Clark, amongst others, providing great targets.  Running back could use an upgrade with Joseph Addai wearing down a bit and Donald Brown not yet living up to lofty expectations.  Offensive line is probably the biggest need, and with an abundance of talented tackles in this year’s crop, is the Colts most likely pick.  Jeff Saturday and Ryan Diem are still good players, but beyond those two, the line is a patchwork.  Defensively the Colts are perennially undersized.  They could us a big defensive tackle, a run stuffing linebacker, and a playmaking safety to replace Bob Sanders.  Corner is all right with Jerraud Powers emerging last year as a really good player.

Who They Might Pick: If Mark Ingram fell to them here, they might take him.  Getting a physical runner would really help alleviate some pressure off Manning’s shoulders.  Still, I think offensive line is a more glaring need, and defensive tackle is more pressing as well.  The Colts need an offensive tackle that can really pass protect, as their offense is more finesse than force.  Tyron Smith and Anthony Castonzo will likely be gone at this point, and Gabe Carimi is more of a fit for a running team.  Derek Sherrod from Mississippi State and Nate Solder from Colorado would be the main options with Solder as the more prototypical pass blocking tackle with extremely long arms and good athleticism.  Taylor, Paea, and Wilkerson could all be options at defensive tackle.  Mike Pouncey could be an option for the Colts if they want to address the guard position.

My Advice: When you have #18, you have to protect him.  Take Nate Solder from Colorado.  He’s the best pass blocker available at this point and can start right away.

At pick twenty-two, the Indianapolis Colts take Nate Solder, OT, Colorado.

--from Adam

(first image from zimbio.com, second from tommeltonscouting.wordpress.com)

2011 NFL Draft Preview: New York Giants and Tampa Bay Buccaneers

#19 New York Giants

What They Need: When the Giants dethroned the undefeated Patriots in the 2008 Super Bowl, they did so on the strength of tenacious offensive and defensive lines.  Many of the same players remain, but those units haven’t been as good the past couple of years.  I don’t know that they necessarily need to address those positions with draft choices, but they need to re-emphasize the importance of a punishing rushing attack and a pressure cooker pass rush.  Eli Manning is not great, but he’s good and in his prime, so there’s no need to look to the future at quarterback.  Hakeem Nicks, Steve Smith, and Mario Manningham represent a really talented young receiving corps, so I can’t envision the Giants looking to add a player to that already stacked group either.  The running back position is also in good hands with Ahmad Bradshaw, who had a true breakout year last season, and Brandon Jacobs, who averaged a bruising 5.6 yards per carry.  As mentioned, the offensive line has lacked a certain punch recently, and maybe that’s because some key guys are getting older.  Center Shaun O’Hara is still a good player, but he’s 33.  Guard Rich Seubert is 32, and the tackle position probably could use an upgrade between David Diehl, Will Beatty, and injury prone Kareem McKenzie.  Switching to the defensive side of the ball, I still like the personnel they have up front.  Justin Tuck is a freak combination of size, strength, and agility.  Mathias Kiwanuka has pass rush ability but has had issues with injuries.  If last year’s top pick Jason Pierre-Paul can learn the mental aspect of the game, there’ll be no stopping him.  He’s as dynamic as they come in terms of speed off the edge.  Chris Canty and Barry Cofield are solid players inside, but perhaps New York could look at the defensive tackle spot for an upgrade.  The linebackers are a pedestrian group, but given the Giants’ 4-3 system and the dearth of 4-3 linebackers in this year’s draft, they won’t go in that direction here.  Corey Webster and Aaron Ross form a good but not great corner duo.  Kenny Phillips has gobs of talent at safety and his partner in crime Antrel Rolle has a nose for the football.

Who They Might Pick: I see this pick being either an offensive or defensive tackle, maybe a cornerback.  Tyron Smith the offensive tackle from USC might still be on the board, but he’s more of a finesse pass blocker, and the Giants really like to establish their running game.  Boston College’s Anthony Costanzo is a bit like Smith in that he’s more equipped to pass block.  I see a guy like Wisconsin tackle Gabe Carimi as a nice fit for New York’s offensive line.  Mammoth Mississippi State tackle Derek Sherrod could be a possibility too as he has the size to punish people in the run game, but he’s not as skilled as Carimi.  If they look at defensive tackle they could eye Phil Taylor (Baylor), Corey Liuget (Illinois), Stephen Paea (Oregon State), or Muhammad Wilkerson (Temple).  The Giants like to rotate bodies a lot on the defensive front and even interchange defensive ends and defensive tackles, so they could look to add a guy that can play anywhere on the line.  Adrian Clayborn from Iowa, JJ Watt from Wisconsin, or Cameron Jordan from Cal would all be nice, inside-outside linemen.  The usual suspects of Jimmy Smith from Colorado, Aaron Williams from Texas, and maybe Davon House from New Mexico State could be cornerback possibilities.

My Advice: This team isn’t far away from being really good.  The Cowboys and Eagles are both teams that want to throw the ball, and adding to the defensive line is a good way to counteract those teams.  I think the offense is fine, and addressing the offensive line later on in the draft is a sound strategy.  With this pick, the Giants should nab JJ Watt.  He’s 6’5”, 290 pounds, and athletic for his size.  He ran a 4.8 40.  Also incredibly strong (34 reps of 225 pounds), Watt can still fill out his long frame.  Usually guys that have great measureables lack a great motor or intensity, but that’s actually Watt’s biggest strength.  The guy never quits on a play; he has tremendous instincts; and coming from the Big Ten, he’s used to battling NFL-sized offensive linemen.  He will play inside and out, rush the passer, and attack the run.

With the nineteenth selection, the New York Giants pick JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin.

#20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

What They Need: I love everything about this young team.  Their coach Raheem Morris has a tremendous energy about him and he has his team ready to play every time they hit the field.  On offense I don’t think many additions are needed, just time for all the young talent to meld together.  Josh Freeman is going to be a star at quarterback and he’s just 23.  Last year’s rookie sensation LeGarette Blount locks down the running situation, and Mike Williams and Arrelious Benn are big-time talents both entering their second season as wideouts.  Kellen Winslow is still just 27 years old and is a major talent at tight end.  Jeff Faine, Davin Joseph, Donald Penn, and Jeremy Trueblood represent four very good starters along the offensive line, and I would imagine they believe that fifth starter can be found in a later round or is already on the roster.  Defensively this team has a lot to like as well.  Gerald McCoy is going to be a stud at defensive tackle, and right next to him is last year’s second round pick Brian Price.  Barrett Ruud is a tackling machine at middle linebacker, though he could use some help outside.  Aqib Talib is a tremendous young corner that can’t seem to stay out of trouble off the field.  Another cornerback could help, and I think the safety position is relatively set.

Who They Might Pick: I think this pick almost definitely comes on the defensive side of the ball, which means either a corner or a defensive end.  The Bucs run a 4-3, and I think adding a dynamic pass rusher to their nice young defensive tackle duo could make this a fearsome, young defense.  If Cameron Jordan is available he would be a steal; he’s a projected top-15 talent.  Ryan Kerrigan from Purdue would also be a really good pick.  He’s more of a pure speed rusher than Jordan, albeit not quite the same all-around player.  Cameron Heyward from Ohio State is a thought as well, though he’s more a tweener between end and tackle.  Any cornerback they could get here, unless Jimmy Smith falls to this spot, would be a reach.

My Advice: Take Ryan Kerrigan from Purdue.  The guy ran a 4.6 40 and pushed out 31 reps of 225 pounds.  He’s known as an effort player, but with those Combine numbers he clearly has the skills to match the motor.  Jordan is less of a pure pass rusher than Kerrigan, who compiled a career total of 33 sacks at Purdue with 12 and 13 in the last two years respectively.  At 6’4” 270 he has the prototype size for a 4-3 end, and he has the strength to hold up against the run as well.

For the twentieth pick, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue.

--from Adam

(first image from ftrp.wordpress.com, second from rivals.yahoo.com)