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ruminations on sports and other complexities of the universe

--from Eric and Adam

November 18, 2010

Week 11 Pick-Down

MatchupAdam's Pick Eric's Pick
Bears at Dolphins 
Bears
Dolphins
Bills at Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Raiders at Steelers
Raiders
Steelers
Ravens at Panthers
Ravens
Ravens
Texans at Jets
Jets
Jets
Browns at Jaguars
Jaguars
Jaguars
Redskins at Titans
Titans
Titans
Packers at Vikings
Packers
Packers
Cardinals at Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Lions at Cowboys
Cowboys
Lions
Falcons at Rams
Falcons
Rams
Buccaneers at 49ers
49ers
49ers
Seahawks at Saints
Saints
Saints
Colts at Patriots
Colts
Patriots
Giants at Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Broncos at Chargers
Chargers
Chargers



Adam
Eric
Week 10 Record
6-8
7-7
Season Standings
78-66
84-60

To see how the "Experts" stack up: http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

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The predictions here come from Adam and correspond to his picks.
 
Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins
Tyler Thigpen has some promising ability, but I just don't think he will light the world on fire with such limited experience and so few reps in practice.  Jake Long has a torn labrum and a dislocated shoulder, plus he's coming of an MCL injury.  He's thinking of playing?  Yikes.  He cannot be full strength with all those injuries, and Julius Peppers will sniff out that weakness.  The Dolphins' corners are talented but young; they may give up a few big plays.  I really don't like what I've seen with the Bears, but with all the injuries in Miami and a short week to boot, I'll take the Bears in this matchup.
Prediction: Bears 23 – Dolphins 16

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals
You look at this game and think the Bengals are the more talented team, and they are.  But the Bills expected to be bottom feeders, whereas the Bengals surprisingly find themselves at 2-7.  In terms of mentality, I think the Bills will relish the spoiler role better then Cincinnati, and that will allow them to keep this game close.  Ultimately though, the Bengals have to win a few games this season, and at home against Buffalo, they will get win number three.
Prediction: Bengals 27 – Bills 24

Oakland Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers' offensive line is banged up, Hines Ward may not play, and the defense looked pedestrian last week.  The Raiders can really rush the passer, are coming off a bye week, have won three straight games, and finally have their quarterback in Jason Campbell.  Every time I pick against the Raiders they win, so I'm going with the fresh Raiders to ugly up this game and win a grinder.  Probably dumb, but that's the fun of this whole Pick-Down.
Prediction: Raiders 17 – Steelers 16

Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers
Jimmy Clausen might be too banged up, in which case rookie Tony Pike will start for the Panthers.  In either case, this game will not go well for Carolina.
Prediction: Ravens 27 – Panthers 6

Houston Texans at New York Jets
The Texans have disappointed after a 4-2 start.  The Jets have had two poor games, yet won them both.  I think at home, the Jets have their best game of the year against a bad Texans defense.
Prediction: Jets 30 – Texans 16

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars
I have no idea what kind of team Jacksonville is, but they are 5-4, and the Browns are 3-6 despite playing well.  I'll take Jacksonville at home.
Prediction: Jaguars 24 – Browns 21

Washington Redskins at Tennessee Titans
The Redkins might be in disarray coming off the Monday night debacle against Philly, and with a short week to prepare for an angry Titans team, I don't like their chances.  Vince Young should play, and Chris Johnson and Randy Moss should get their mojo going this week.
Prediction: Titans 28 – Redskins 19

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Brett Favre and Percy Harvin are banged up, Sidney Rice isn't ready yet, the Vikings' defense is a shell of its former self, and everybody hates Brad Childress.  The Packers are coming off a bye, their offensive line is playing well, Aaron Rodgers is finding his MVP form, and they have an opportunity to bury the hated Vikings.  Go Pack Go.
Prediction: Packers 34 – Vikings 21

Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
This is a perfect rebound matchup for the Chiefs, as they come off two tough loses.  Arizona doesn't have a quarterback and their defense has been up and down.  I look for KC to control the ball with the rushing attack, win the turnover battle, and win comfortably.
Prediction: Chiefs 23 – Cardinals 13

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys
We get Shaun Hill vs. Jon Kitna instead of Matt Stafford vs. Tony Romo.  Since the quarterbacks are both average, the difference will be the supporting casts and the home field: advantage Dallas.
Prediction: Cowboys 24 – Lions 20

Atlanta Falcons at St. Louis Rams
The Rams really impressed me last week in a road loss to the Niners.  They are much better at home than on the road as well.  By playing last Thursday, the Falcons have had an extra weekend to prepare for this matchup and will be slightly fresher and better prepared.  Atlanta will be able to run the ball, and the Rams' biggest weakness is their secondary, not good when Matty Ice and Rowdy Roddy White are in town.  Falcons will win a shootout.
Prediction: Falcons 31 – Rams 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have won three of their last four, and are 2-0 with Troy Smith.  Troy has this team believing, and Mike Singletary would have lost the locker room if he had put Alex Smith back in.  Troy gives the Niners down field ability, and most importantly, has not turned the ball over in two games.  He makes Frank Gore more of a threat as well and also gives the defense confidence.  The Bucs have beaten bad teams like the 49ers all year, but hell, I'm a Niner fan, and with a win and a Seattle loss, the Niners would be just one game back of the division lead.
Prediction: 49ers 27 – Buccaneers 20

Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints
The Seahawks are not a very good team, but they lead a terrible division.  Matt Hasselbeck is banged up, but will likely play.  With the Saints coming off a bye week though, it won't matter who Seattle's quarterback is.
Prediction:  Saints 30 – Seahawks 17

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
The Patriots had an emotional, playoff-type game against Pittsburgh last week, while the Colts had their their bye.  Every time we think we know the best team in the league (New England) they lose.  Peyton Manning has had two weeks to prepare for this game, and if you give this man extra study time, he will kill you no matter who he's throwing to.  Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis will make Tom Brady's life a lot tougher than New England's defense will for Manning.
Prediction: Colts 31 – Patriots 28

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
When the Giants win, they do so in dominant fashion.  When they lose, they got clobbered.  Michael Vick is so hot right now, and will lead the Eagles to sole possession of the NFC East.
Prediction: Eagles 27 – Giants 23

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
This game could easily have 800 yards of passing.  Go Bolts.
Prediction: Chargers 38 – Broncos 23

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