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ruminations on sports and other complexities of the universe

--from Eric and Adam

October 29, 2011

Week 8 Pick-Down

MatchupAdam's Pick Eric's Pick
Dolphins at Giants
Giants
Giants
Cardinals at Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Saints at Rams
Saints
Saints
Jaguars at Texans
Texans
Texans
Vikings at Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Colts at Titans
Titans
Titans
Lions at Broncos
Lions
Lions
Redskins at Bills (in Toronto)
Bills
Bills
Patriots at Steelers
Steelers
Patriots
Browns at 49ers
49ers
49ers
Bengals at Seahawks
Bengals
Bengals
Cowboys at Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Chargers at Chiefs
Chargers
Chargers




Adam
Eric
Week 7 Record
7-6
10-3
Season Standings
68-35
70-33

Bye Weeks: Bears, Buccaneers, Falcons, Jets, Packers, Raiders

To see how the "Experts" stack up: http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks


The predictions here come from Adam and correspond to his picks.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
I'm tempted to pick Indy here for a couple of reasons: first, they have to win some time, and second, it's a divisional game against the up-and-down Titans.  Ultimately though, playing at home and very much alive in the AFC South, I'll take the Titans.  They're the better team, and they need this game.
Prediction: Titans 27 – Colts 17

New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams
With Sam Bradford out, the Rams are flatout terrible.  Also, home-field advantage won't matter much for St. Louis as the Saints thrive in a dome environment.  The Rams don't have the horses to keep up with Drew Brees' stable of weapons.
Prediction: Saints 38 – Rams 16

Miami Dolphins at New York Giants
The Dolphins are a mess with a coach that all the players know is on the way out the door.  They have no quarterback, a dearth of weapons on offense, and very little reason to fight at 0-6.  You play to win the game as Herm Edwards would say, but I wonder just how hard the Dolphins are playing right now.  The Giants are an inconsistent team, but they just have so much more going for them than Miami.
Prediction: Giants 23 – Dolphins 13

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers
Both teams that I think are a little better than their records indicate, and both start rookie quarterbacks.  I think the Vikings have a great shot to win this game, but Cam Newton is playing better than Christian Ponder at this very moment, and I hate the Vikings.  Since it's such a tossup, I'll go with what I want to happen.
Prediction: Panthers 28 – Vikings 23

Arizona Cardinals at Baltimore Ravens
The Cards’ offensive line is going to get pummeled by the Ravens’ defense, and I look for Joe Flacco to bounce back and prove some naysayers wrong.  The Ravens “good” is very good, and their “bad” is really bad.  I expect them to be on their game after an embarrassing loss to Jacksonville.
Prediction: Ravens 24 – Cardinals 10

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans
Andre Johnson won’t be back, but if he was, the Texans would feature one of the top offenses in the league.  The combination of Ben Tate and Arian Foster on the ground, combined with the aerial duo of Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson, is tough to match.  It's sad that Mario Williams had to suffer a season ending injury because the Texans, when healthy, are loaded talent-wise.  At least they're on the mend offensively.
Prediction: Texans 27 – Jaguars 20

Washington Redskins at Buffalo Bills (in Toronto)

The Redskins’ offense was bad to begin with, and now with Tim Hightower gone for the year and Santana Moss gone for at least five weeks, they should be downright abysmal.  I really like the Washington defense, but they’ll have to hold opponents to 13 points to give the offense a chance.  That ain't happening against Buffalo.
Prediction: Bills 21 – Redskins 6

Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos
This is an important game for the Lions to prove they are a real contender, not because the Broncos are a good team, but because it's vital that the Lions show they have the fortitude to bounce back from a two-game skid and win on the road.  I think Tim Tebow only has a limited amount a magic, and otherwise he's just, well, limited.  He's not a great passer, and in this league you can't just run around and improvise on every play.  The Lions’ defensive line should feast on Tebow, who got sacked all day long against Miami, and as I always say, there's no coverage for Calvin Johnson.  Give me the Motor City Kitties.
Prediction: Lions: 31 – Broncos 20

New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Pats have done well against Pittsburgh in recent times, but Ben Roethlisberger is red hot right now and should carve up a suspect Patriots defense.  Whereas when the Patriots have the ball, the Steelers have the defense to match.  Pittsburgh does struggle when teams spread them out—like the Packers in the Super Bowl or the Patriots over the past few years—but I think the biggest weakness in this game is the New England defense, and that will be the difference.
Prediction:  Steelers 27 – Patriots 24

Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers
It will be interesting to see how the 49ers handle being big home favorites for the first time in a long time.  Coming off a bye week, they've had plenty of time for everyone to tell them just how great they are, and that is dangerous for any team.  Fortunately, I think Jim Harbaugh has this team really focused on “one day at a time.”  Both defenses in this game are good, but the Niners’ has been dominant, and the Browns don't have skill players comparable to Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis, and Braylon Edwards, who should be back this week.  I also believe the triumvirate of kicker David Akers, punter Andy Lee, and return man Ted Ginn is the best such trio in the league.  They often go unnoticed.  I think the Niners get a few more explosive plays and will ride the home field and their defense to a tough win.  I'll take my boys in a meat grinder game.
Prediction: 49ers 20 – Browns 13

Cincinnati Bengals at Seattle Seahawks
The Bengal defense is legit, and Andy Dalton will be the best quarterback on the field Sunday.  I think that will be enough, even on the road, to take out the sea-chickens.
Prediction: Bengals 17 – Seahawks 13

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
If you can figure out the NFC East, let me know.  The Eagles haven't put four good quarters together since they played the Rams in the opening game of the season, and the Cowboys haven't exactly been the model of consistency either.  I'll take Philly simply because they are at home, and I think this division is going to be a dog-fight all year long, which is something Michael Vick should be very comfortable with.  BA-ZING...I had to make a dumb joke, sorry.
Prediction: Eagles 31 – Cowboys 28

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have really recovered after a horrible start, and the Chargers just haven't played up to their talent level.  But I'm stubborn.  The real Philip Rivers will show up.  I say it happens this week, and the Chiefs won't be able to keep up.
Prediction: Chargers: 34 – Chiefs 23

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