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ruminations on sports and other complexities of the universe

--from Eric and Adam

December 22, 2011

Week 16 Pick-Down

MatchupAdam's Pick Eric's Pick
Texans at Colts
Texans
Texans
Browns at Ravens
Ravens
Ravens
Broncos at Bills
Broncos
Broncos
Buccaneers at Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Cardinals at Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
Raiders at Chiefs
Chiefs
Raiders
Dolphins at Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Giants at Jets
Giants
Jets
Rams at Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
Jaguars at Titans
Titans
Titans
Vikings at Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Chargers at Lions
Chargers
Chargers
Eagles at Cowboys
Eagles
Eagles
49ers at Seahawks
49ers
49ers
Bears at Packers
Packers
Packers
Falcons at Saints
Saints
Saints




Adam
Eric
Week 15 Record
10-6
10-6
Season Standings
136-88
156-68

To see how the "Experts" stack up: http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks


The predictions here come from Adam and correspond to his picks.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
Anything truly can happen in this crazy regular season.  The Saints have lost to the Rams, the Chiefs beat Green Bay, and Tim Tebow is steam-rolling toward the postseason.  So it is entirely conceivable that the smoking hot (1-straight win!) Colts could take down an injury-hampered Texans team.  I'm just not betting on it.  Houston’s strong, ball-controlling ground game and defense that flies all over the field should be enough to keep the talent-deprived Colts at arms length.

Prediction: Texans 24 – Colts 17

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is undefeated at home, they still hold the edge over Pittsburgh, and are in the running for the top seed in the AFC.  They need this game, and I expect them to smoke the punch-less Browns.
Prediction: Ravens 30 – Browns 9

Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills
I have no idea how to pick games in which Tim Tebow is involved, primarily because I don't understand how he keeps winning.  I do know though the Denver defense can get after the passer and Ryan Fitzpatrick has looked really meek the last handful of games.  I'm sure the Bills are regretting the $59 million contract they gave Fitzy after a hot start.  I'll take the fighting Tebows because of their defense and pounding ground attack.
Prediction: Broncos 20 – Bills 16

Tamp Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
I'm not sure how anyone can pick Tampa Bay at this point.
Prediction:  Panthers 34 – Buccaneers 23

Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals
The Cards have been playing good ball lately, winning six of their last seven games, and John Skelton hasn't been bad at all.  Against an athletic defense and the Andy Dalton- AJ Green connection I say the Cards will fall a bit short.  Cincy has a ton to play for, and Arizona is just remotely in the playoff picture, so I'll take the home team who has more on the line.
Prediction: Bengals 23 – Cardinals 20

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
I like the way the Chiefs’ defense got after it last week against Green Bay, and I can only imagine they could do the same to Carson Palmer.  I look for Kyle Orton to control the game with short passes and for this to be an ugly one.  Arrowhead Stadium will be the biggest factor in this game.
Prediction: Chiefs 16 – Raiders 10

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
The Dolphins are a tough out right now—nobody enjoys playing them—but needing to hold onto the #1 seed in the AFC, I trust Tom Brady to hold serve.  Give me the Patriots at home.
Prediction: Patriots 28 – Dolphins 17

New York Giants at New York Jets
This is pretty simple for me.  Neither team is great, but I like Eli Manning a lot more than Mark Sanchez.  It's not really a road game, and the Giants still have plenty of playoff prospects to play for.  I'll take Sanchez to blow it and Manning to thrive.
Prediction: Giants 24 – Jets 17

St. Louis Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers
I don't think the Steelers will play Ben Roethlisberger in this game, nor should they.  Dennis Dixon, Rashard Mendenhall, and the Pittsburgh defense should be enough to carry this one home against the hapless Rams.
Prediction: Steelers 20 – Rams 6

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars are really bad; the Titans are just completely unpredictable.  Jake Locker may see some time as the Titans start to feel out their future.  Meanwhile, Blaine Gabbert's future looks anything but exciting right now.  I'll take the Titans because, well...they stink less than Jacksonville.
Prediction: Titans 17 – Jaguars 13

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins
The Redskins, like the Dolphins, are a team playing well late in the year despite being out of contention.  The Vikings, meanwhile, are pointing fingers, their coach is under heavy scrutiny, and their rookie passer should be under heavy pressure all day come game time.  I'll take Washington, although it always scares me to bet on Rex Grossman.
Prediction: Redskins 20 – Vikings 13

San Diego Chargers at Detroit Lions
I like this matchup: two teams that like to sling the ball all over the place and are both in the playoff hunt.  I like Philip Rivers as the more consistent player than Matthew Stafford.  Stafford is great at leading comebacks, but Rivers is just the better overall player.  In addition, Ryan Mathews gives the Chargers the balance in the running game that the Lions lack.  Gimme the Bolts.
Prediction: Chargers 34 – Lions 27

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
The Eagles are hot lately, and the Cowboys haven't strung together wins well all season.  I'll play the hot hand and go with Philly.
Prediction: Eagles 31 – Cowboys 27

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
A short turn around for the Niners after playing on Monday night, they now have to suit up and go on a Saturday.  Fortunately they play a division opponent, so game-planning will be much simpler.  I expect the Niners to shut down the Seahawks’ limited offensive attack and do just enough on offense and special teams to win a tough road game.  They all count for San Fran right now because they have to stay ahead of the Saints to guarantee a bye.
Prediction: 49ers 17 – Seahawks 9

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
The Packers still have something to play for as they need to hold off the Niners for the top seed, and one more win against the reeling Bears would clinch home-field all the way to the Super Bowl for Green Bay.  I expect the Pack to come out re-focused after their first loss, knowing that if they win this game they can rest their starters the final week in addition to securing the first-round bye.
Prediction: Packers 27, Bears 14

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
I'll be rooting for Atlanta to knock off New Orleans for the 49ers' sake, but Drew Brees at home and in a big game is hard to pick against.  The Saints have a little too much firepower for Atlanta.
Prediction: Saints 38 – Falcons 27

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