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ruminations on sports and other complexities of the universe

--from Eric and Adam

November 12, 2011

Week 10 Pick-Down

MatchupAdam's Pick Eric's Pick
Raiders at Chargers
Chargers
Chargers
Saints at Falcons
Falcons
Saints
Titans at Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Steelers at Bengals
Bengals
Steelers
Rams at Browns
Browns
Rams
Bills at Cowboys
Bills
Cowboys
Jaguars at Colts
Colts
Jaguars
Broncos at Chiefs
Chiefs
Broncos
Redskins at Dolphins
Redskins
Dolphins
Cardinals at Eagles
Eagles
Eagles
Texans at Buccaneers
Texans
Texans
Ravens at Seahawks
Ravens
Ravens
Lions at Bears
Bears
Lions
Giants at 49ers
49ers
49ers
Patriots at Jets
Jets
Patriots
Vikings at Packers
Packers
Packers



Adam
Eric
Week 9 Record
8-6
8-6
Season Standings
86-44
87-43

To see how the "Experts" stack up: http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks


The predictions here come from Adam and correspond to his picks in the remaining games.

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
Bar none, this is the biggest NFC South game so far this year.  Both New Orleans and Atlanta have failed to maximize on the huge potential their glitzy rosters possess.  I think this is the week Atlanta starts its march toward the divisional title by reminding us of the squad that won 13 games last year.  I just love Atlanta's potential to be such a balanced attack on offense, and I think they control the clock, intercept Drew Brees once or twice, and take this contest at home.
Prediction: Falcons 30 – Saints 27

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals might seem like just a nice little story, but they are a legit football team.  At 6-2, if they can get this game against the Steelers, I think it will be exactly the confidence boost this team needs to propel themselves toward the playoffs.  Their defense is for real (tenth against the pass, second against the run), and I'm a believer in Andy Dalton.  If they can ride Cedric Benson and find AJ Green deep a few times, they should be able to hold the Steelers off the scoreboard for the most part.  Maybe I'm just falling in love with a fun, young team, but I like the Bengals to move to 7-2.
Prediction: Bengals 20, Steelers 17

St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns
This is going to be a stink-fest, but the Rams are awful while the Browns are simply pretty bad.  I'll take pretty bad over awful at home.  Hopefully that's not too scientific for you at home.
Prediction: Browns 24 – Rams 16

Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys
I think there's a temptation to jump off the Bills bandwagon because we didn't expect them to be any good, and they just got smacked by the Jets, so there's an “I told you so factor” with them right now.  But I'm here to steady the ship, circle the wagons, and believe in the Bills.  I think their offense has more of an identity behind Fred Jackson than Dallas’ does.  The Cowboys are too much of an up-and-down team.  Buffalo's offense will rebound in a big way this week.
Prediction: Bills 28 – Cowboys 27

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Because the Jags are pretty damn bad, and the Colts have to win sometime.  I think.
Prediction: Colts 20 – Jaguars 16

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Now I really have no idea what to make of Kansas City.  They lose their first three and look terrible, then rebound with four-straight wins, then lose by 28 to the formerly winless Dolphins.  I guess I'll go with Kansas City for two reasons: they're playing at home, and they have a quarterback that can actually make a legitimate forward pass from the pocket.
Prediction: Chiefs 23 – Broncos 14

Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins
Considering the banged up Redskins offense, I'm tempted to pick the Dolphins, but then I think about Ryan Kerrigan and Brian Orakpo teeing off on Matt Moore.  Thus, I have to go with Washington.  Plus, the Dolphins almost always lose when playing at home.  
Prediction: Redskins 16 – Dolphins 10


Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles might not have much left to play for as their playoff hopes are probably shot, but even playing blindfolded they should be able to knock off Arizona.
Prediction: Eagles 30 – Cardinals 17

Houston Texans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers aren't quite explosive enough on offense and just a little too young on defense.  I like the way Houston is pounding the ball with their terrific tandem of Arian Foster and Ben Tate, and Matt Schaub should move the ball efficiently.  On top of it all, the Texans finally have a defense they can rely on.
Prediction: Texans 28 – Buccaneers 24

Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers
Every time I write off the Titans they end up winning, but screw it.  I love watching Cam Newton play, and I think the Panthers are better than their 2-6 record indicates.
Prediction: Panthers 30 – Titans 20

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks
This is seemingly a no-brainer.  I'm picking the Ravens, but Baltimore seems to have a tendency to play down to the level of their opponent.  I wouldn't be surprised if this is closer than most expect and an overall ugly game.
Prediction: Ravens 20 – Seahawks 10

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
The Lions have had a bye week to prepare for the Bears and nearly killed Jay Cutler in their first meeting this year.  Yet I think the Bears are a different team than they were earlier in the year, now more committed to the run and playing improved defense.  As long as Matt Forte gets 20+ carries, Cutler will be able to minimize his mistakes.  I like the Bears to win at home.  
Prediction: Bears 24 – Lions 20

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers
Probably the game of the week in the NFL, this outcome could very well determine the two seed in the NFC playoffs.  Ultimately I like the 49er defense to do what they usually do, shut the opposing offense down; they lead the league in points allowed per game.  Against a Giants team that struggles to stop the run, Frank Gore should run wild.  Alex Smith will do what he's been doing and make just enough throws to secure the win.
Prediction: 49ers 17, Giants 13

New England Patriots at New York Jets
Could the Patriots really lose 3-straight games?  Yes they can, and they will.  The Jets’ defense has been really good lately, and even Mark Sanchez can move the ball on this terrible Patriots defense.
Prediction: Jets 24 – Patriots 21

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
This may be a bit of a trap game with a 2-6 team coming into Lambeau.  Ha!  Not when it's on Monday night against the hated Vikings.  The Pack keeps the undefeated train rolling smoothly.
Prediction: Packers 34 – Vikings 20

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